Research

Selected Peer-Reviewed Articles

Using Markets to Adapt to Climate Change
Science | 2026 | with Simon Greenhill, Solomon Hsiang, and co-authors

Efficient Curve Fitting with Penalized B-Splines for Oceanographic and Ecological Applications
Scientific Reports | 2025 | with Kwan-Young Bak, Dong-Young Lee, Ju-Seong Lee, Hee-Jung Jee, Ja-Yong Koo, and Jae-Hwan Jhong

Heat Stress and the Labour Force
Nature Reviews: Earth and Environment | 2024 | with Shouro Dasgupta, Elizabeth Robinson, Soheil Shayegh, Francesco Bosello, and Simon Gosling

Workers and the Green-Energy Transition: Evidence from 300 Million Job Transitions
Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy | 2024 | with Mark Curtis and Layla O’Kane

High Temperatures and Electricity Disconnections for Low-Income Homes in California
Nature Energy | 2023 | with Alan Barreca and Paul Stainier

The Effect of Natural Disasters on Human Capital in the United States
Nature Human Behaviour | 2023 | with Isaac Opper and Lucas Husted

Learning is Inhibited by Heat Exposure, Both Internationally and Within the U.S.
Nature Human Behaviour | 2021 | with A. Patrick Behrer and Joshua Goodman

Heat Has Larger Impacts on Labor in Poorer Areas
Environmental Research Communications | 2021 | with A. Patrick Behrer, Gernot Wagner, Colleen Golja, and David Keith

Heat and Learning
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy | 2020 | with Joshua Goodman, Mike Hurwitz, and Jonathan Smith

Hot Temperature and High Stakes Performance
Journal of Human Resources | 2020

Households and Heat Stress: Estimating the Distributional Consequences of Climate Change
Environment and Development Economics | 2018 | with Mook Bangalore, Stephane Hallegatte, and Evan Sandhoefner

Temperature Stress and the Direct Impact of Climate Change: A Review of an Emerging Literature
Review of Environmental Economics and Policy | 2016 | with Geoffrey Heal

Combining Multiple Climate Policy Instruments: How Not to Do It
Climate Change Economics | 2011 | with Sam Fankhauser and Cameron Hepburn

Working Papers

Mandatory Climate Adaptation: Evidence from Firms’ Investments in Workplace Heat Safety (revise & resubmit, Journal of Political Economy: Microeconomics)
with A. Patrick Behrer and Nora Pankratz

Local Labor Market Conditions and Adaptation to Climate Change: The Role of Workers’ Outside Options (under review, The Economic Journal)
with Paul Stainier, A. Patrick Behrer, and Nora Pankratz

Better Outside Options Reduce Workplace Injuries (under review, Journal of Public Economics: Short Papers; draft available upon request)
with Anna Stansbury and Paul Stainier

Workplace Heat Burdens the Poor and Young: Quantifying Individual Climate Risk in the US Labor Market (under review, PNAS)
with Paul Stainier and A. Patrick Behrer

The Unequal Effect of Extreme Heat on Everyday Mobility (under review, Environmental and Resource Economics)
with Husel Husile and Hwiyoung P. Lee

Minimum Wages and Workplace Injuries (draft available upon request)
with Michael Davies and Anna Stansbury

Air Pollution and Learning (draft available upon request)
with A. Patrick Behrer, Joshua Goodman, and Parker Goyer

Temperature and Labor Market Outcomes in South Korea (draft available upon request)
with Hwiyoung P. Lee

Why Environmental Economics Can’t Avoid the Jobs Question (draft available upon request)
with E. Mark Curtis and Paul Stainier

Permanent Working Papers

Feeling the Heat: Temperature, Physiology, and the Wealth of Nations
NBER Working Paper No. 19725 | with Geoffrey Heal

Will We Adapt? Labor and Adaptation to Climate Change
with A. Patrick Behrer | Winner of the Harvard Enel Award for Best Doctoral Thesis in Environmental Economics (2017)

In Progress

Homeless Mortality, Municipal Housing Policy, and Adaptation to Climate Change
with Husel Husile, Paul Stainier, Caro Park, Dennis Culhane, and Matt Fowle

The Role of Firms in Worker Reallocation in Response to Labor Market Shocks
with Mark Curtis, Eleanor Krause, and Paul Stainier

Books & Book Chapters

Slow Burn: The Hidden Costs of a Warming World
Princeton University Press | 2024
Library Journal Best Non-Fiction Books of 2024; Choice Outstanding Academic Title of the Year 2024; Axiom Book Awards Bronze Medal Winner (Philanthropy / Nonprofit / Sustainability) 2025; The Next Big Idea Club Must Read 2024; Porchlight Top 40 Business Books of 2024
Translations: Korean, Greek, Polish

Climate Change and Human Capital
Handbook of the Economics of Climate Change, Vol. 2 (Elsevier) | 2026 | with A. Patrick Behrer and Y. Zhang

Economic Modeling of Climate Change
Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges, and Decisions, Cambridge University Press | 2010 | with Cameron Hepburn

Other Publications

We Don’t See What Climate Change is Doing to Us
The New York Times Guest Essay | 2024

Impacts of Warming Temperatures on Education and Learning
Econofact | 2020

Air Condition Sweltering Schools to Close Racial Achievement Gaps
USA Today | 2019

Heat Isn’t Just a Nuisance to Students; It’s a Barrier to Learning
The Hill | 2018 | with Joshua Goodman, Mike Hurwitz, and Jonathan Smith